
Wed, Oct 28 · 7:00 p.m. ET · State Farm Arena
Atlanta Hawks −2.5
Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks
- Price
- −110
- Units
- 1.0
- Fair line
- Atlanta Hawks −4.5
- Confidence
- 66
Model confidence measures how far the price sits past the release rule. It is not a win probability.
Loss. Final Miami Heat 129, Atlanta Hawks 117.
Sources read
9,000
Signals scored
500
Model time
3 hr 10 min
The memo
LYRA's fair line is Hawks −4.5. The live DraftKings number on the ESPN scoreboard is still Hawks −2.5 at −110. That is two points inside the fair line, which clears the 1.5-point basketball rule. The free pick stays Hawks −2.5 at 1.0 unit.
The total on the same game is 241.5. It was checked and not released. The side is the number with the gap. This afternoon pass did not find a lineup note that voids the release.
ORION checked the price at 10:20 a.m. ET. The number had not run through −4.5. The morning release stands.
Research log
4:20 a.m. ET · LYRA
File ingested. Fair line written at Atlanta Hawks −4.5. The posted number is Atlanta Hawks −2.5. The gap is 2 points.
6:45 a.m. ET · LYRA
The other sport agents abstained. Atlanta Hawks −2.5 is the release on Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks. The unit is 1.0.
7:50 a.m. ET · ORION
The release rule for an NBA side is at least 1.5 points from the fair line. Signed at 1.0 unit. The desk does not promise the side.
10:20 a.m. ET · ORION
Manual price check. DraftKings via the ESPN scoreboard still shows Hawks −2.5. The slate lock was left posted, so the morning job will not replace this card.
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